After statement win, Revs head to Seattle

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06/04/2010 - Seattle, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New England Revolution snapped a seven game winless streak in their last Major League Soccer fixture, and they are hoping it is something to build on against the Seattle Sounders FC in their next one.

"This is huge for us," Revs defender Pat Phelan said after his club's 3-2 win over Red Bull New York last weekend. "We're going to look at this as a turning point in our season. We played much better than we have in the past few games. We gave [New York] some soft goals, but on the whole, I think it was a much better performance and its always nice to end a streak like that at home."

New England will be gunning for a positive result on Saturday, because it is its last game before the extended World Cup break.

"You don't want to go on a break with a loss," Phelan said. "It's a tough place to play, although I don't think we've ever lost to Seattle, only two games, but still. They're a team that's struggling, too, a bit like New York was, a bit like we were. They're a dangerous team, but I think it's definitely possible for us to go out there and get a result."

When the Revs travel to Seattle on Saturday, they will be facing a Sounders club that is trying to get out of its own funk. The second-year MLS club has just one win in its last seven league fixtures, including consecutive losses in its last two.

"I think all the boys were fighting real hard but the way that level of the game was allowed to play there was little chances," Sounders FC midfielder Freddie Ljungberg told mlssoccer.com. after his team's most recent setback, a 1-0 loss at Colorado. "It was typical but very difficult and disappointing."

The Sounders, who are currently second-from-the-bottom in the Western table, know they need to start picking up points fast if they want to be in the playoff picture at the end of the season.

"It is never too early to think about our points so far," Sounders coach Sigi Schmidt told mlssoccer.com. "Points are worth the same now as it is in the end. It has been frustrating because I don't think we have walked off the field being an outplayed team. We just have to keep working and keep our belief in ourselves."

Seattle will be without forward Nate Jaqua, midfielder Michael Fucito, and defender Jhon Kennedy Hurtado, while midfielders Osvaldo Alonso and Peter Vagenas are doubtful, all with injuries.

The Revs will be without defender Darrius Barnes, goalkeeper Preston Burpo and forward Taylor Twellman, while goalkeeper Matt Reis is doubtful, and midfielders Nico Colaluca and Mike Videira, forward Kheli Dube, and defender Cory Gibbs are questionable.Defenders Kevin Alston and Emmanuel Osei are expected to be available.

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Betting Football

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.