Ranked foes meet in Big Ten battle

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/09/2010 - East Lansing, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 10th-ranked Michigan State Spartans will try to keep their slim hold on the top spot in the Big Ten tonight, as they host the sixth-ranked Purdue Boilermakers at Mackey Arena.

After opening their Big Ten slate with nine consecutive wins, MSU was in complete control and on its ways to a second straight Big Ten regular-season crown. However, the Spartans were defeated in both of their outings last week, including a 78-73 setback at Illinois on Saturday, and are now only one game up in the standings. MSU is still a healthy 19-5 overall, including a perfect 13-0 at home, but there is no longer any margin for error.

One of the teams nipping at the heels of MSU is Purdue, which is 7-3 in conference play. Since losing three straight, the Boilermakers have run off five wins in a row, including a 78-75 besting of Indiana on Thursday. Purdue is now a hardy 19-3 overall and is on its way to a fourth straight 20-win campaign.

Purdue leads the all-time series with MSU, 62-44, and has taken three of the past five meetings, although the Boilermakers haven't won in East Lansing since 1998.

The Boilermakers knocked down 46.4 percent of their attempts from the floor and 20-of-28 at the foul line, as they slipped past Indiana last week. Robbie Hummel and JaJuan Johnson each scored 21 points in the win and they combined for 16 rebounds and a 16-of-21 showing at the foul line. E'Twaun Moore tacked on 14 points, as he remains the team's leading scorer on the season, averaging 17.2 ppg. Hummel adds 16.5 ppg and a team-best 7.2 rpg to the mix, while Johnson contributes 14.4 ppg and 6.9 rpg.

The Spartans shot a sound 54.7 percent from the floor, but that still wasn't enough to overcome 18 turnovers in an 78-73 loss at Illinois on Saturday. Draymond Green paced the team in defeat with a double-double of 17 points and 16 rebounds, while Chris Allen had 15 points. The Spartans played their second straight game without Kalin Lucas, as he continues to nurse a sprained right ankle. Lucas, the reigning Big Ten Player of the Year, leads the team in both scoring (15.6 ppg) and assists (4.0 apg), but is listed as questionable for tonight. Durrell Summers and Raymar Morgan are both tied for second in scoring at 10.8 ppg and they are also combining for 10.6 rpg. Green, a jack-of-all- trades, adds 10.5 ppg to go along with 3.0 apg and a team-high 8.3 rpg.

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Betting Football

NFL Football Betting Online

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.